US imports of goods from China this year

US imports of goods from China this year

Begins in 234 days · Feb 4, 8:00am EST

Chance

Below $240 billion

16%

Below $240 billion

16%

Below $260 billion

59%

Below $260 billion

59%

Below $280 billion

81%

Below $280 billion

81%

2 more

Market Rules

Below $220 billion

If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $220 billion, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.

Timeline and payout

Market openApr 2, 2026 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 4, 2027 at 8:29am EST.

SeriesKXCNIMPORT

EventKXCNIMPORT-27FEB04

MarketKXCNIMPORT-27FEB04-T220

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.