Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
$20,292 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Reuters, The Washington Post, Semafor, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, BBC News, CNN, NBC News, CBS News, ABC News, Fox News, MSNBC, Scientific American, Nature, Science Magazine, Space News, SpaceflightNow, Space, NASA, the European Space Agency, SpaceX, the China National Space Administration, Roscosmos, the Indian Space Research Organisation, the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Blue Origin, Virgin Galactic, the Mars Society, the Planetary Society, The New York Times, the Associated Press, and Bloomberg News.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 27, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCOLONIZEMARS
EventKXCOLONIZEMARS-50
MarketKXCOLONIZEMARS-50
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.