Will Congressional salaries increase?
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Chance
Before Jan 1, 2027
17%
Before Jan 1, 2027
17%
Before Jan 1, 2028
34%
Before Jan 1, 2028
34%
Before Jan 1, 2029
37%
Before Jan 1, 2029
37%
Before Jan 1, 2030
47%
Before Jan 1, 2030
47%
Market Rules
Before Jan 1, 2027
Resolves Yes if the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027.Outcome verified from The Washington Post, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, ABC, Bloomberg News, CBS, South China Morning Post, NBC, the Associated Press, The Verge, BBC, Axios, CNN, ABC News Australia, The Information, Semafor, MSNBC, CBC, Reuters, Politico, and The New York Times.
This includes increases by any mechanism, including new legislation, the existing automatic cost-of-living adjustment taking effect, or a final non-appealable court order. Back-pay awards, preliminary court rulings, and raises limited to leadership positions or specific offices do not qualify.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 28, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE
EventKXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30
MarketKXCONGRESSPAYINCREASE-30-27JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.