Will core CPI fall below 2.2% this year?

Will core CPI fall below 2.2% this year?

Begins in 187 days · Dec 10, 8:00am EST

$31,313 vol

Chance

Yes

24%

Yes

24%

Market Rules

Yes

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.

Timeline and payout

Market openApr 21, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the BLS, in any covered CPI release, reports Core CPI year-over-year inflation below 2.20%. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 10, 2026 at 8:29am EST.

SeriesKXCOREUND

EventKXCOREUND-26DEC10

MarketKXCOREUND-26DEC10-T2.2

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.