Another US credit rating downgrade in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Another US credit rating downgrade in 2025?
Another US credit rating downgrade in 2025?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes ifU.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies beginning May 21, 2025 and by December 31, 2025.Outcome verified from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 21, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
SeriesKXCREDITRATING
EventKXCREDITRATING-25DEC31B
MarketKXCREDITRATING-25DEC31B
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.