Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
3%
Before Jul 1, 2026
3%
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Nov 3, 2026
20%
Before Nov 3, 2026
20%
Before Jan 1, 2027
37%
Before Jan 1, 2027
37%
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
If any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The Wall Street Journal, Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg News, the New York Times, and ABC News.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 8, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXDEMSCHUMER
EventKXDEMSCHUMER-27
MarketKXDEMSCHUMER-27-JUL01
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