Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30) Odds & Predictions 2026
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Chance
Oregon
70%
Oregon
70%
Louisiana
60%
Louisiana
60%
Kansas
50%
Kansas
50%
12 more
Market Rules
Missouri
If the maximum drought monitor category in Missouri during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Drought Monitor.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 20, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for Missouri during June 4–July 30, 2026. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXDROUGHTLEVEL
EventKXDROUGHTLEVEL-26JULLD4
MarketKXDROUGHTLEVEL-26JULLD4-MO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.