Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30) Odds & Predictions 2026
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Chance
Louisiana
50%
▼ 10
Louisiana
50%
▼ 10
Kansas
40%
▼ 10
Kansas
40%
▼ 10
Arizona
35%
▼ 6
Arizona
35%
▼ 6
12 more
Market Rules
North Carolina
Resolves Yes ifthe maximum drought monitor category in North Carolina during June 4–July 30, 2026 is at least D4.Outcome verified from U.S. Drought Monitor.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 20, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early upon release of U.S. Drought Monitor data confirming the maximum drought category for North Carolina during June 4–July 30, 2026. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXDROUGHTLEVEL
EventKXDROUGHTLEVEL-26JULLD4
MarketKXDROUGHTLEVEL-26JULLD4-NC
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.