Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

$191,034 vol

Chance

Before 2027

7%

▲ 2

Before 2027

7%

▲ 2

Market Rules

Before 2027

If there is at least an earthquake of 8 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from USGS.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 1, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA

EventKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27

MarketKXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-27

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.