8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

$25,076 vol

Chance

Before 2030

63%

▼ 7

Before 2030

63%

▼ 7

Market Rules

Before 2030

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from USGS.

Timeline and payout

Market openMay 24, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2029 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN

EventKXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30

MarketKXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-30

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.