When will El Niño conditions be declared present? Odds & Predictions 2026
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
Before Jul 1, 2026
Yes
Before Jul 1, 2026
Yes
Before Aug 1, 2026
Yes
Before Aug 1, 2026
Yes
Before Sep 1, 2026
Yes
Before Sep 1, 2026
Yes
2 more
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes ifthe National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026.Outcome verified from NOAA.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 2, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedJun 14, 2026 · 5:03pm EDT
Paid outJun 16, 2026 · 10:30am EDT
SeriesKXELNINO
EventKXELNINO-26
MarketKXELNINO-26-JUL
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