When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
99%
Before Jul 1, 2026
99%
Before Aug 1, 2026
99%
Before Aug 1, 2026
99%
Before Sep 1, 2026
99%
Before Sep 1, 2026
99%
2 more
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
If the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Prediction Center declares in an ENSO Diagnostic Discussion that El Niño conditions are present after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from NOAA.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 2, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesJul 13, 2026 · 11:59pm EDT
Projected payoutJul 14, 2026 · 12:29am EDT
SeriesKXELNINO
EventKXELNINO-26
MarketKXELNINO-26-JUL
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