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When will Mt. Etna next erupt? Odds & Predictions
Climate and Weather
When will Mt. Etna next erupt?
Climate and Weather
When will Mt. Etna next erupt?
Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
Before Jan 1, 2026
Yes
Before Jul 1, 2026
Yes
Before Jul 1, 2026
Yes
Before Jan 1, 2027
Yes
Before Jan 1, 2027
Yes
Market Rules
Before Jan 1, 2026
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
Mt. Etna erupts before Jan 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 4, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 29, 2025 at 2:14pm EST.
Series
KXERUPTETNA
Event
KXERUPTETNA-0
Market
KXERUPTETNA-0-26JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$65,171 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL