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Will a supervolcano erupt 2049? Odds & Predictions
Climate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Climate and Weather
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Resolves Yes if
a supervolcano erupts before Jan 1, 2050
.
Outcome verified from
New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 18, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2049 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXERUPTSUPER
Event
KXERUPTSUPER-0
Market
KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$31,640 vol