Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?
Chance
Italy
4.8%
Italy
4.8%
Poland
3%
Poland
3%
Hungary
2%
Hungary
2%
3 more
Market Rules
Italy
If Italy votes to leave the EU before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from ABC, Politico, The New York Times, The Information, Axios, AP, Bloomberg, Reuters, CNN, Fox News, Semafor, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, CBS, NBC, and MSNBC.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 18, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXEUEXITCOUNTRY
EventKXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30
MarketKXEUEXITCOUNTRY-30-ITA
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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