Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump’s FDA Commissioner?
Who will be Trump’s FDA Commissioner?
Marty Makary
Yes
Marty Makary
Yes
Balaji Srinivasan
No
Balaji Srinivasan
No
David Friedberg
No
David Friedberg
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
No
Market Rules
Marty Makary
Resolves Yes if Marty Makary is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be FDA Administrator between November 8, 2024 and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 21, 2024 · 10:30am EST
Market closedMar 27, 2025 · 10:16am EDT
Paid outJan 1, 2027 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXFDA
EventKXFDA-26DEC31
MarketKXFDA-26DEC31-MM
Insider trading is prohibited
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Marty Makary
Odds
0% chanceMax payout