How many government employees will Trump cut?
How many government employees will Trump cut?
Begins in 266 days · Mar 4, 10:00am EST
Chance
More than 100,000
36%
▼ 7
More than 100,000
36%
▼ 7
More than 150,000
23%
▼ 1
More than 150,000
23%
▼ 1
More than 200,000
19%
More than 200,000
19%
4 more
Market Rules
More than 100,000
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count in any month before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED and Bureau of Labor Statistics.
At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 19, 2026 · 8:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXFEDEMPLOYEES
EventKXFEDEMPLOYEES-27FEB
MarketKXFEDEMPLOYEES-27FEB-100000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.