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Who will win the Fields Medal this year? Odds & Predictions 2025
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
Chance
John Pardon
63%
▲ 6
Yes
64.9¢
No
42¢
John Pardon
63%
▲ 6
Yes
64.9¢
No
42¢
Yu Deng
53.7%
▼ 0.1
Yes
57¢
No
49¢
Yu Deng
53.7%
▼ 0.1
Yes
57¢
No
49¢
Jack Thorne
31.2%
▲ 0.3
Yes
32¢
No
76¢
Jack Thorne
31.2%
▲ 0.3
Yes
32¢
No
76¢
7 more
Market Rules
Jacob Tsimerman
Resolves Yes if
Jacob Tsimerman wins the Fields Medal in 2026
.
Outcome verified from
International Mathematical Union
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 27, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXFIELDS
Event
KXFIELDS-26
Market
KXFIELDS-26-JTSI
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$81,043 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL