Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
Chance
Before 2027
11%
▲ 1
Before 2027
11%
▲ 1
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2025 · 6:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXFLIGHTSRUSSIA
EventKXFLIGHTSRUSSIA-25
MarketKXFLIGHTSRUSSIA-25-27
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