Will the July 2026 FOMC statement include forward guidance?
Will the July 2026 FOMC statement include forward guidance?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Resolves Yes if the inclusion of forward-looking rate guidance in the July 2026 FOMC statement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 30, 2026.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve, ABC, Bloomberg, NBC, The Washington Post, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Reuters, The Information, Politico, Axios, MSNBC, CNN, the New York Times, CBS, and Semafor.
The market will resolve to Yes if the July 2026 FOMC statement includes language indicating that the Committee expects, anticipates, intends, or judges it likely that future changes to the target range for the federal funds rate will occur, including future rate cuts, future rate hikes, or future adjustments in either direction.
The market will resolve to No if the statement only describes current economic conditions, the current policy decision, the Committee’s goals, or general data-dependence without indicating a likely future direction for the federal funds rate.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 21, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXFOMCGUIDE
EventKXFOMCGUIDE-26
MarketKXFOMCGUIDE-26-FWD
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.