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Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?

Brazil 29%
European Union 27%
Mexico 22%
DecJanFebAprMay0%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Jul 2025
Chance
$203,803vol

Brazil
29%
▼ 16

European Union
27%
▼ 3

Mexico
22%

6 more markets

Rules summary for
European Union
If European Union imposes new tariffs (or raises tariff) on the United States before Jul 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from AP and The New York Times.

Timeline and payout

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Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
Buy Yes · European Union
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Average price
28¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0