When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Begins in 20 days · Jun 30, 12:00am EDT
Chance
Before July
36%
▲ 19
Before July
36%
▲ 19
Before October
69%
▲ 5
Before October
69%
▲ 5
Before 2027
96%
▲ 17
Before 2027
96%
▲ 17
Market Rules
Before July
If any AI solves at least 1 Frontier Math: Open Problems after issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Epoch AI.
At the time of issuance, one FrontierMath: Open Problem has been solved by AI (a Ramsey-style problem on hypergraphs); for the purpose of this market, additional AI models subsequently solving the same problem will not count.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 25, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXFRONTIER
EventKXFRONTIER-FRON
MarketKXFRONTIER-FRON-26JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.