Which government funding bills will become law in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Which government funding bills will become law in 2025?
Which government funding bills will become law in 2025?
CR + 3-Bill Minibus
Yes
CR + 3-Bill Minibus
Yes
January CR
Yes
January CR
Yes
Any full-year appropriations
Yes
Any full-year appropriations
Yes
2 more
Market Rules
CR + 3-Bill Minibus
The outcome is Yes
If a bill containing two components: (1) A provision making temporary continuing appropriations to fund government agencies, and (2) a minibus making full-year appropriations for Military Construction-VA, Legislative Branch, and Agriculture appropriations bills has become law before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
The bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 5, 2025 · 2:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 12, 2025 at 10:38pm EST.
SeriesKXFUNDINGBILLS
EventKXFUNDINGBILLS-26JAN01
MarketKXFUNDINGBILLS-26JAN01-OPT1
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