Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive470AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE470
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Senate

Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

LIVE
10
Chance
Bastrop
99%
▲ 47

Bastrop

99%
▲ 47
Brazoria
99%
▲ 59

Brazoria

99%
▲ 59
Denton
98%
▲ 52

Denton

98%
▲ 52
4 more

People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Texas Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
Series Image
Will James Talarico outperform the polls?
Series Image
Texas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
Series Image
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Harris County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Starr County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

Bastrop

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
$92,042 vol
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • James TalaricoD49.3%
    49.3%
    $68.6M
    54%
    $68.6M raised·54% small donors
  • Ken PaxtonR45.6%
    45.6%
    $19.5M
    19%
    $19.5M raised·19% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%
More Elections Markets

More General election county winners markets

Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win?California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford win?New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?Florida Senate: which counties will Angie Nixon win?Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win?Kansas Senate: which counties will Adam Hamilton win?

Trending Elections markets

Mississippi Senate winner?2028 Democratic presidential nomineeAlaska Senate winner?How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?2028 Republican presidential nominee2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)Texas Senate margin of victory

Elections hub

All Elections markets