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How much will the government increase spending in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Economics
·
Growth
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
Economics
·
Growth
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
At least $1 billion
Yes
At least $1 billion
Yes
At least $100 billion
Yes
At least $100 billion
Yes
At least $500 billion
No
At least $500 billion
No
At least $1 trillion
No
At least $1 trillion
No
Market Rules
At least $1 billion
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion above the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2025
.
Outcome verified from
FRED
.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 27, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 30, 2025 at 12:33pm EDT.
Series
KXGOVTSPEND
Event
KXGOVTSPEND-26
Market
KXGOVTSPEND-26-1B
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.