How much will the government increase spending in 2025? Odds & Predictions
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
At least $1 billion
Yes
At least $1 billion
Yes
At least $100 billion
Yes
At least $100 billion
Yes
At least $500 billion
No
At least $500 billion
No
At least $1 trillion
No
At least $1 trillion
No
Market Rules
At least $1 billion
The outcome is Yes
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion above the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2025, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 27, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 30, 2025 at 12:33pm EDT.
SeriesKXGOVTSPEND
EventKXGOVTSPEND-26
MarketKXGOVTSPEND-26-1B
Insider trading is prohibited
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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