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Trump
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Chance
Before Apr 1, 2027
57%
▲ 3
Yes
58¢
No
44¢
Before Apr 1, 2027
57%
▲ 3
Yes
58¢
No
44¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
64%
▲ 3
Yes
64¢
No
37¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
64%
▲ 3
Yes
64¢
No
37¢
Before Oct 1, 2027
66%
▼ 1
Yes
68¢
No
35¢
Before Oct 1, 2027
66%
▼ 1
Yes
68¢
No
35¢
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Dollars
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Nov 16, 2026
YES 2¢
NO 99¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
2% chance
Max payout
Nov 15, 2026
$0
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$4,390,543 vol
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AI Digest
· House sends Hegseth impeachment to committee and pauses the push until January
Not advice
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