Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/13 - 4/19) Odds & Predictions 2026
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/13 - 4/19)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (4/13 - 4/19)
Above 60
Yes
Above 60
Yes
Above 70
Yes
Above 70
Yes
Above 80
Yes
Above 80
Yes
8 more
Market Rules
Above 10
The outcome is 84
If number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Apr 13, 2026 to Apr 19, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Apr 13, 2026 to Apr 19, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 14, 2026 · 12:00pm EDT
Market closedApr 21, 2026 · 9:59am EDT
Paid outJul 20, 2026 · 10:30am EDT
SeriesKXHORMUZTRAFFICW
EventKXHORMUZTRAFFICW-26APR19
MarketKXHORMUZTRAFFICW-26APR19-T10
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event