Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/23 - 3/29) Odds & Predictions 2026
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/23 - 3/29)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (3/23 - 3/29)
Above 15
Yes
Above 15
Yes
Above 20
Yes
Above 20
Yes
Above 25
No
Above 25
No
6 more
Market Rules
Above 5
The outcome is 24
If number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from Mar 23, 2026 to Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Mar 23, 2026 to Mar 29, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 25, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closedMar 31, 2026 · 8:59am EDT
Paid outJun 29, 2026 · 9:30am EDT
SeriesKXHORMUZTRAFFICW
EventKXHORMUZTRAFFICW-26MAR31
MarketKXHORMUZTRAFFICW-26MAR31-T5
Insider trading is prohibited
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Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event