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TX-23 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Herrera vs. Stout | Kalshi

Series Image

House

TX-23 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Brandon Herrera

Republican party

72%

▲ 4

Brandon Herrera

Republican party

72%

▲ 4

Katy Padilla Stout

Democratic party

28%

▼ 4

Katy Padilla Stout

Democratic party

28%

▼ 4

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TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera

Dollars$

Odds

72% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Stout

Nov 3 ·R +1.8margin forecast

Herrera

$253,307 vol

Race Intel

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

Brandon HerreraR42%
42%
$1.9M
0.9%
$1.9M raised·0.9% small donors
Katy Padilla StoutD40%
40%
$484.9K
39%
$484.9K raised·39% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past presidential elections

2024R +14.8%2020R +7.2%