Series Image

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Mar 25Mar 30Apr 4Apr 8Apr 1345%52.5%60%67.5%75%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Jan 20, 2029
$10,473vol

Order book


Rules summary
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his Presidency?
Buy Yes
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
73¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0