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  1. Trump

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Chance
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.3%
▼ 1.7

Before Jan 1, 2027

5.3%
▼ 1.7
Before Jan 1, 2028
21%
▼ 8

Before Jan 1, 2028

21%
▼ 8
Before Jan 20, 2029
43%
▼ 1

Before Jan 20, 2029

43%
▼ 1
5 more
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Odds
3% chance
Max payout
Dec 1, 2026
$0
$1,724,187 vol
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