U.S. imports from Iran >$5M this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M this year?
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M this year?
Begins in 235 days · Feb 1, 8:00am EST
$7,835 vol
Chance
in 2026
22%
▼ 4.1
in 2026
22%
▼ 4.1
Market Rules
in 2026
If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from United States Census Bureau.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 4, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 1, 2027 at 8:29am EST.
SeriesKXIRANIMPORTS
EventKXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01
MarketKXIRANIMPORTS-27FEB01-T5000000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.