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Will Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Politics
·
SCOTUS & courts
Will Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime in 2025?
Politics
·
SCOTUS & courts
Will Jack Smith be charged with a federal crime in 2025?
$9,375 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If Jack Smith has been formally charged with any federal crime in after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
the New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
Politico
,
NBC
,
CNN
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
MSNBC
,
BBC
, and
NPR
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Nov 1, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if formal charges are filed. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXJACKSMITHCHARGE
Event
KXJACKSMITHCHARGE-26JAN01
Market
KXJACKSMITHCHARGE-26JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.