Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16th Odds & Predictions 2026
Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16th
Initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16th
At least 200,000
Yes
At least 200,000
Yes
At least 205,000
Yes
At least 205,000
Yes
At least 210,000
No
At least 210,000
No
7 more
Market Rules
At least 190,000
The outcome is 209,000
If there are at least 190,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending May 16, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Department of Labor.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 14, 2026 ยท 11:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 21, 2026 at 8:25am EDT.
SeriesKXJOBLESSCLAIMS
EventKXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26MAY21
MarketKXJOBLESSCLAIMS-26MAY21-190000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.