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  1. International elections

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Official must announce or actually leave office. Temporary absence, delegation, or death don't count.


Chance

Christopher Luxon
Prime Minister of New Zealand

49%

▼ 1
Christopher Luxon
Prime Minister of New Zealand

49%

▼ 1

Benjamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister of Israel

38%

▼ 2
Benjamin Netanyahu
Prime Minister of Israel

38%

▼ 2

Pedro Sánchez
Prime Minister of Spain

22%

▼ 8
Pedro Sánchez
Prime Minister of Spain

22%

▼ 8

More markets

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Christopher Luxon

Odds
52% chance
Max payout
Jan 1, 2027

$0

$9,337,198 vol