Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Pete Hegseth 38%
Peter Navarro 36%
Howard Lutnick 27%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026
Chance
$460,551vol
Pete Hegseth
Secretary of Defense38%
Peter Navarro
Trade Advisor36%
Howard Lutnick
Secretary of Commerce27%
8 more markets
Rules summary for
Pete Hegseth
If Pete Hegseth leaves, or it is announced they will leave, their office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the White House, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
The person must leave their office to resolve the market to Yes. For example, if they accept another role and leave their current role, the market resolves to Yes. If they accept another role without leaving their current role, then the market does not resolve to Yes. Timeline and payout
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Buy Yes · Pete HegsethSecretary of DefenseBuy
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