How many Senators vote to confirm Howard Lutnick as Commerce Secretary?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
▼
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
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Before Aug 2025
% Chance
$1,254vol
81 to 83
17%
81 to 83
17%
84 to 86
17%
84 to 86
17%
87 to 89
11%
87 to 89
11%
7 more markets
Rules summary for
84 to 86
If between 84 to 86 Senators vote in favor of confirming Howard Lutnick as Commerce Secretary before Aug 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
Ranges are inclusive. If Howard Lutnick is withdrawn, then the bottom bracket will resolve to Yes.Note: this event is mutually exclusive.