Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Resolves Yes if a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050.Outcome verified from NASA, ESA, SpaceX, Blue Origin, the Chinese National Space Administration, Roscosmos, the California High-Speed Rail Authority, the Federal Railroad Administration, the California Department of Transportation, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, and Space.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 27, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMARSVRAIL
EventKXMARSVRAIL-50
MarketKXMARSVRAIL-50
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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