Democratic NYC Mayor nominee in 2025?
Democratic NYC Mayor nominee in 2025?
Zohran Mamdani
Yes
Zohran Mamdani
Yes
Andrew Cuomo
No
Andrew Cuomo
No
Brad Lander
No
Brad Lander
No
More markets
Market Rules
Zohran Mamdani
Resolves Yes if Zohran Mamdani is the first person to win the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.Outcome verified from New York Times.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 8, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMAYORNYCNOMD
EventKXMAYORNYCNOMD-25
MarketKXMAYORNYCNOMD-25-ZM
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of citywide and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on mayoral campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of mayoral campaigns.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure-only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g., the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University’s polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ, and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
- All staff of the New York State Legislature and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of the State of New York.
- All staff of the Office of the Secretary of State of New York.
- All staff of the Mayor of New York City.
- All staff of the New York Court of Appeals and its Judges.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Zohran Mamdani
Odds
0% chanceMax payout