New York City Mayor Election Odds & Predictions 2025
New York City Mayor Election
New York City Mayor Election
Zohran Mamdani
Democratic Nominee
Yes
Zohran Mamdani
Democratic Nominee
Yes
Andrew Cuomo
Independent
No
Andrew Cuomo
Independent
No
Curtis Sliwa
Republican Nominee
No
Curtis Sliwa
Republican Nominee
No
2 more
Market Rules
Zohran Mamdani
The outcome is Zohran Mamdani
If a representative of the Democratic Party is sworn in pursuant to the NYC Mayoral election on Nov 4, 2025, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Office of the Mayor of New York City.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 9, 2024 · 2:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
This market will close following in the swearing in of the Mayor pursuant to the election. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 6, 2025 at 10:18pm EST.
SeriesKXMAYORNYCPARTY
EventKXMAYORNYCPARTY-25
MarketKXMAYORNYCPARTY-25-D
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.