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  1. US Elections

California’s 45th District margin of victory

100
Begins in 20 days · Nov 3
Chance
Tran, 7+ pts

69%

Tran, 7+ pts

69%

Tran, 10+ pts

68%

Tran, 10+ pts

68%

Tran, 13+ pts

41%

Tran, 13+ pts

41%

6 more

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California’s 45th District margin of victory
Tran, 4+ pts

Tran, 4+ pts

Odds
87% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chuong VoR
    $495.8K
    27%
    $495.8K raised·27% small donors
  • Derek TranD
    $5M
    16%
    $5M raised·16% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024D +4.0%2020D +10.1%