Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive539AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE539
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Louisiana’s 4th District margin of victory

LIVE
624
Chance
Republicans, 18+ pts
73%

Republicans, 18+ pts

73%
Republicans, 21+ pts
68%

Republicans, 21+ pts

68%
Republicans, 24+ pts
64%

Republicans, 24+ pts

64%
More markets

People are also trading
Series Image
LA-04 House winner?
Series Image
Louisiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
LA-04 House election: Mike Johnson vote percent (1st Round)
Series Image
LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
Series Image
California Governor winner? (Person)
Louisiana’s 4th District margin of victory
Republicans, 9+ pts

Republicans, 9+ pts

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel· Louisiana
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Matt GromlichD
    $445.6K
    12%
    $445.6K raised·12% small donors
  • Mike JohnsonR
    $24.2M
    17%
    $24.2M raised·17% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +29.9%2020R +34.2%
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Iowa Senate winner?Mississippi Senate winner?Nebraska Senate winner?How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?2028 Democratic presidential nomineeMinnesota Senate winner?Los Angeles Mayor winner?Texas Governor winner?

Elections hub

All Elections markets