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  1. US Elections

Missouri’s 4th District margin of victory

100

Begins in 20 days · Nov 3

Chance

Republicans, 26+ pts

70%

Republicans, 26+ pts

70%


Republicans, 29+ pts

58%

Republicans, 29+ pts

58%


Republicans, 32+ pts

37%

Republicans, 32+ pts

37%


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Missouri’s 4th District margin of victory
Republicans, 5+ pts

Republicans, 5+ pts

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jordan HerreraD
    —
    —
  • Mark AlfordR
    $1.4M
    1.2%
    $1.4M raised·1.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +21.2%2020R +18.8%