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Series Image
  1. US Elections

New Jersey’s 4th District margin of victory

100
Begins in 20 days · Nov 3
Chance
Smith, 22+ pts

68%

Smith, 22+ pts

68%

Smith, 25+ pts

57%

Smith, 25+ pts

57%

Smith, 28+ pts

39%

▼ 7
Smith, 28+ pts

39%

▼ 7
6 more
New Jersey’s 4th District margin of victory
Smith, 13+ pts

Smith, 13+ pts

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chris SmithR
    $592K
    14%
    $592K raised·14% small donors
  • Rachel PeaceD
    $34.4K
    43%
    $34.4K raised·43% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +30.1%2020R +22.4%