MARKETSPERPSLIVE131
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive131AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

New York’s 22nd District margin of victory

Begins in 20 days · Nov 3
Chance
Mannion, 17+ pts

56%

Mannion, 17+ pts

56%

Mannion, 20+ pts

50%

Mannion, 20+ pts

50%

Mannion, 23+ pts

35%

Mannion, 23+ pts

35%

6 more
New York’s 22nd District margin of victory
Mannion, 5+ pts

Mannion, 5+ pts

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027

$0

Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John MannionD
    $2.7M
    11%
    $2.7M raised·11% small donors
  • Kailee Tkacz BullerR
    $267.3K
    5.2%
    $267.3K raised·5.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024D +7.7%2020D +11.4%