Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive87AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE87
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

North Carolina’s 3rd District margin of victory

100
Begins on Tuesday · Nov 3
Chance
Smith, 1+ pts
28%
▼ 9

Smith, 1+ pts

28%
▼ 9
Smith, 3+ pts
24%

Smith, 3+ pts

24%
Smith, 6+ pts
16%
▲ 5

Smith, 6+ pts

16%
▲ 5
People are also trading
Series Image
NC-03 House winner?
Series Image
North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Series Image
North Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NC-03 House election: Greg Murphy vote percent
Series Image
NC-03 House election: Raymond Smith Jr. vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Who will control the Senate?
Series Image
Michigan Senate winner?
North Carolina’s 3rd District margin of victory
Smith, 1+ pts

Smith, 1+ pts

Odds
40% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Greg MurphyR
    $2.8M
    1.1%
    $2.8M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Raymond Smith Jr.D
    $223.1K
    32%
    $223.1K raised·32% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +13.6%2020R +8.3%
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Texas Senate winner?Who will control the House?Texas Governor winner?Who will control the Senate?Michigan Senate winner?2028 Democratic presidential nomineePrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Elections hub

All Elections markets