Alexandre de Moraes leaves Brazil Supreme Court in 2024?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
%
▼ 0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2025 (+0)
$12,507vol
No
Rules summary
If Alexandre de Moraes is no longer a justice on the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil before Dec 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Government of Brazil.
Timeline and payout
About
Alexandre de Moraes, a justice on Brazil's Supreme Court and head of the Superior Electoral Court, has been at the center of intense debates due to his decisions and investigations. He has been overseeing inquiries related to former President Jair Bolsonaro and his allies, including a five-year probe into "digital militias" accused of spreading defamatory fake news and inciting protests. Recently, a U.S. congressional committee released confidential Brazilian court orders issued by de Moraes, sparking controversy over free speech and censorship on social media platforms like X, owned by Elon Musk.
Show more
Decoding the market
Case for Before Dec 31, 2024
'In a speech this Monday, senator Eduardo Girão... criticized the Federal Supreme Court (STF) and minister Alexandre de Moraes. He called for the opening of impeachment proceedings against the minister, who currently presides over the Superior Electoral Court.' (Agência Senado - 4.10.24)
Case for Not before Dec 31, 2024
'There is zero chance that the president of the Senate , Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD-MG), will guide Moraes' impeachment. And it's not just the Minas Gerais senator's lack of will. The Bolsonaro parliamentarians themselves recognize that they are far from obtaining the 54 votes necessary to remove the magistrate.' (Metropoles Columnist Paulo Cappelli - 4.9.24)
