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How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Science and Technology
·
Big Tech & Business
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2025?
Science and Technology
·
Big Tech & Business
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2025?
At least 10
Yes
At least 10
Yes
At least 15
No
At least 15
No
At least 20
No
At least 20
No
3 more
Market Rules
At least 10
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
at least 10 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
in hierarchical order
,
Neuralink
,
Barrow Neurological Institute
,
Elon Musk
,
PCMag
,
The Debrief
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
Nature
,
Science Magazine
,
MIT Technology Review
,
IEEE Spectrum
,
TechCrunch
,
Ars Technica
,
The Verge
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
NBC
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
, and
The Washington Post
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 8, 2025 · 8:15pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 1, 2025 at 12:02pm EDT.
Series
KXNEURALINKCOUNT
Event
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-25
Market
KXNEURALINKCOUNT-25-10
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.