Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit in 2025?
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit in 2025?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if Neutron rocket reaches orbit before Jan 1, 2026.Outcome verified from SpaceX, Blue Origin, NASA, European Space Agency, Federal Aviation Administration, China National Space Administration, ROSCOSMOS, rocket manufacturer or operator, Ars Technica, The Verge, TechCrunch, Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, CNN, Fox News, ABC, CBS, NBC, MSNBC, and Rocket Lab.
Please see full rules for orbit definition.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 2, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXNEUTRONORBIT
EventKXNEUTRONORBIT-25
MarketKXNEUTRONORBIT-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.