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Which of these smaller space companies will launch next? Odds & Predictions 2025
Science and Technology
Which of these smaller space companies will launch next?
Science and Technology
Which of these smaller space companies will launch next?
Neutron
Rocket Lab
No
Neutron
Rocket Lab
No
Nova
Stoke Space
No
Nova
Stoke Space
No
Rocket 4
Astra
No
Rocket 4
Astra
No
2 more
Market Rules
Neutron
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
Neutron is the first among the above listed set to launch before Jan 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
SpaceX
,
Blue Origin
,
NASA
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
The Washington Post
, and
The Wall Street Journal
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
May 24, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXNEXTLAUNCHSMALL
Event
KXNEXTLAUNCHSMALL-26
Market
KXNEXTLAUNCHSMALL-26-NEUTRON
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$15,675 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL