U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?

U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?

Begins in 258 days · Mar 4, 8:00am EST

$51,557 vol

Chance

Above 3%

45%

Above 3%

45%

Market Rules

Above 3%

Resolves Yes if U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026.Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 11, 2026 · 3:00pm EDT

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if an eligible economic data release reports a value that causes the market to resolve to Yes. Otherwise, the market will remain open until the final eligible release. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 4, 2027 at 8:59am EST.

SeriesKXNFPROD

EventKXNFPROD-27MAR04

MarketKXNFPROD-27MAR04-T3

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.