How many government shutdowns this year?
How many government shutdowns this year?
Chance
2
62%
2
62%
3
19%
3
19%
4
7.7%
4
7.7%
5
8.7%
5
8.7%
Market Rules
2
If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of Management and Budget and United States Office of Personnel Management.
Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 13, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesJan 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutApr 1, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
SeriesKXNUMSHUTDOWNS
EventKXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01
MarketKXNUMSHUTDOWNS-27JAN01-T2
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event